Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
RobXK
1 year ago
You need 9% of remaining to be third party votes by now. That assuming 155m total turnout, which is generous given this:https://polymarket.com/event/turnout-in-2024-presidential-election
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0x279d4E19D5Be7Bc6d25F3C6777B6802B47AFbC0e-1727574846421
1 year ago
Also what's interesting that people don't separate between states or blue and red areas. It's very easy to see that blue areas have around double the 3rd party votes compared to red areas. Almost all of the outstanding votes are in deep blue states like washington, oregon, california, illinois and even in red states the missing votes are from blue cities. They latest updates on nbc: washington 5.26% 3rds (2390 votes), oregon 100% 3rds (124 votes), california 4.61% 3rds (6378 votes)
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