Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
garbagetogold
1 year ago
YES holders have forgotten that the purpose of Polymarket is to find truth, not give you the opportunity to scalp a 10% risk free return. Here is what we know: Israel blew up some buildings in Iran during their 10/28 attack. Immediately after the attack, no one on either side claimed that a nuclear site was hit. YES holders are alleging that a nuclear site was hit based on two sources: (1) an Axios article citing unnamed Israeli and American sources, who are obviously incentivized to claim victory against their archenemy Iran. All other news articles point to the Axios article as their source. There are plenty of reasons to doubt this singular datapoint (see Nordstream 2 fiasco where US and Ukraine blamed Russia). The second datapoint for their claim is a report from a nuclear research firm called Axios. This article is from 2018 and cites sources from 2004. All this shows is that there may have been a nuclear site there, 20 years ago. Even people in the ISIS institution expressed skepticism that Iran still had nuclear sites there. What is way more likely is that Israel blew up an unrelated facility for missiles and are trying to appease their domestic audience by claiming a great achievement.
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