Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
DeucePapi
1 year ago
If you're getting yes, you're betting on the stupidity of UMA and how it resolves to a vibe instead of what it's supposed to
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Justifax
1 year ago
One of the reasons I hate the UMA process is the orthogonal insider info that veterans can use to take money away from folks just trying to bet on "did they invade". For example, which UMA voters have a high accuracy rate on disputed markets? What's their connection to the chain for reveals like? Do they know the identity of btl and their potential biases? The list goes on and all of these details are not relevant to the underlying question.
