Pennsylvania Margin of Victory
DeucePapi
1 year ago
Look at the PA state voting reports and look at how many mail in votes + provisional votes Biden got and the ratio to Trump in Philly. Kam is tracking on the same trajectory. ~85% were Biden. This market is not pricing in 85K Kamala votes to 15k Trump votes no matter how many are remaining in other counties w a handful of votes left w slight victories by trump
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0x526b28c6143D154C5656E37774916c6EF8051a25-1730556919989
1 year ago
DeucePapi - The mathematics you are using is flawed. Use that same mathematics on Cambria and tell me how many votes are remaining in Cambria? Then add that to the 94k votes you are claiming in Philly and see if it exceeds the Est. Remaining votes... It well exceeds it